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Questions abound after Trump says tax will pay for wall

ASSOCIATED PRESS

White House press secretary Sean Spicer speaks to reporters on Air Force One en route to Andrews Air Force Base, Thursday, from Philadelphia. Spicer says that taxing imports from Mexico would generate $10 billions a year and “easily pay for the wall.”

WASHINGTON >> President Donald Trump is promising Mexico will pay for his massive border wall. On Thursday, his administration finally suggested how: a 20 percent tax on products imported from south of the border.

The new measure could be part of a comprehensive tax reform package that Trump and Congress will work out, the White House said. But there was great ambiguity about the proposal. White House officials later clarified that the tax was but one possible way Trump could finance the wall.

Much was left unanswered. Would Mexico be footing the bill or American consumers? What items would become more expensive? Is this even legal?

Some of the details Trump’s proposal still has to work out:

IS IT A TAX, A TARIFF OR SOMETHING ELSE?

It’s unclear.

The White House said Congress’ tax overhaul would place a 20 percent tax on imports from any country enjoying a trade surplus with the United States. In other words, countries selling more goods and service to the U.S. than buying from it. The idea is to rebalance the playing field for U.S. companies by discouraging Americans from importing.

The idea appears to overlap with a plan House Republicans are pushing called “border adjustment.” Under this plan, the U.S. would refrain from taxing American companies’ exports, but would tax imports.

The new revenues are projected to top $1 trillion over a decade. The money had been envisioned as an offset for lowering U.S. corporate income tax rates, though House Republicans say it could also pay for a wall.

Trump, however, recently said he didn’t like the “border adjustment” idea.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR AMERICANS?

Mexican products would become more expensive.

That means pricier tequila, but also things Americans need: cars, eyeglasses and many basic groceries.

A Toyota Camry? About $1,000 more, according to Jim Lentz, CEO of Toyota North America, noting that a quarter of the car’s parts are imported.

U.S. exporters are behind the House plan because it would reduce their taxes.

Here’s the flip side: Importers, including big retailers and consumer electronics firms, say the higher prices for Mexican products could hurt sales. And that means American jobs.

Retailers such as Wal-Mart also could face higher tax burdens.

WOULD MEXICO REALLY BE PAYING?

Not quite.

The U.S. could recoup some of the wall’s costs by changing the tax and trade policies with Mexico. But the money wouldn’t necessarily be coming from Mexican taxpayers or the Mexican government.

While the tax would land first on companies exporting from Mexico, the costs would likely be passed on to consumers. That leaves Americans footing much of the likely bill.

Trump has said he’s OK with being “reimbursed” at a later point because he is keen to start building the wall immediately.

WOULD IT RAISE ENOUGH MONEY TO PAY FOR THE WALL?

Probably.

Various estimates put the wall’s cost at up to $15 billion.

House Republicans expect their plan to pull in much more than that in its first year. They say that could easily cover the costs of the wall.

IS IT LEGAL?

To be determined.

The U.S. has a range of obligations under the North American Free Trade Agreement and at the World Trade Organization. And Mexico is likely to challenge any new tax that penalizes its economy.

Trump has said he plans to renegotiate NAFTA. Mexico, however, is under no obligation to soften the agreement for his sake.

Other countries may also object, if their products and services are targeted.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, said the border adjustment is essentially a tariff that would be struck down by the WTO if it targets Mexico.

HOW WOULD THIS AFFECT THE ECONOMY?

A topic of great dispute.

The White House said the plan would increase U.S. wages, help U.S. businesses and consumers, and deliver “huge economic benefits.” With so much of the plan ill-defined, it’s impossible to substantiate those claims.

Any turbulence in the U.S.-Mexican trade relationship could have implications for the entire world.

Mexico is the second-largest exporter to the United States, after China. The United States imported roughly $271 billion of goods from Mexico during the first 11 months of 2016, according to the Commerce Department, and ran a trade deficit of almost $60 billion.

DO REPUBLICANS LIKE TRUMP’S PLAN?

Not all of them.

Rep. Justin Amash of Michigan said on Twitter it would be a “tax on Americans to pay for the wall.” Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina said he was “mucho sad” and that “any policy proposal which drives up costs of Corona, tequila or margaritas is a big-time bad idea.”

Even Trump’s pick for commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, dismissed the idea of using tariffs as a trade ploy.

Republicans have traditionally hailed themselves as the party of free trade.

WHAT OTHER WAYS COULD TRUMP GET MEXICO TO PAY?

During the campaign, Trump floated a number of possibilities without committing to any in particular.

He proposed changing a rule under the USA Patriot Act to block some of the roughly $25 billion in remittances that Mexicans living in the U.S. send home each year. He said he would refuse to free up the money until Mexico agrees to pay the U.S. between $5 billion and $10 billion.

Opponents of that plan say Mexicans in the U.S. would likely find other ways to send money back. They could take cash with them when traveling, wire money to a non-Mexican bank or use off-the-books transfers that are difficult to police.

Trump also suggested increasing visa fees for Mexicans to raise money, or canceling business and tourist visas issued to Mexicans until their country pays for the wall.

17 responses to “Questions abound after Trump says tax will pay for wall”

  1. OldDiver says:

    Donald Trump is absolutely clueless

  2. NanakuliBoss says:

    Clueless and a moron. First week over yet? Well at least he didn’t go to the nuclear bunker and fiddle with the red button. Oh wait, Conway has got that penned in for Thursday.

    • DannoBoy says:

      So what if Anerican consuners end up covering the cost of the tax on Mexican Imports?

      Technically Mexico will pay it first so Trump kept his promise. ka-boom!

      So what if Trump didn’t tell us that under his cunning plan Americans will end up reimbursing Mexico for the wall?

      Is Trump supposed to give away his secret plans to our competitors and enemies the way Obummer did? NO WAY!

      @realDonaldTruth

      • aaronavilla says:

        do you at least pour sugar on the bowls of manure being fed to you by trump, or do you eat it straight?

        • DannoBoy says:

          aaronavilla,

          Didn’t you know that what comes out Donald’s rear are turds of pure gold. At least that’s what he says.

          So yes, we are all gagging on those 24k nuggets of TrumpTruth.

          Sure they stink and taste like you know what, but like his tremendous tweets, they emit directly from our glorious leader. M-m-m good.

          @realDonaldTruth

        • CCH says:

          Danno you crack me up. Keep em coming. Those Trump supports don’t even know they are getting screwed.

  3. wrightj says:

    …will learn to make homemade guacamole.

  4. paniolo says:

    If U.S. consumers have to pay higher costs because of the tax, aren’t we really paying for the wall? And, how do we get “reimbursed.”

  5. nomu1001 says:

    Have to give those who support #MAGA credit, because in many cases, they seem to be willing to pay whatever money it takes, out of their pockets, without any reservations.

    Consider the most important issue for those who voted for him – jobs. Who ultimately pays for a 20% tax on imports? You will.

    If we pay people to do the jobs currently being done by automation, and it costs significantly more to do so, who will ultimately pay for this increased cost? You will.

    Who is willing to pay at least 15-30 billion dollars on a southern border wall? Most everyone will agree we need better security, but will you be willing to pay $50 for a 30 foot ladder? Of course you would rather pay billions.

    Who is willing to send their sons and daughters to Iraq to take the oil? Everyone will pay for it.

    Thank you to all of those who are willing to pay for #MAGA.

    • DannoBoy says:

      Nomu gets it now. We want to pay billions more to cover Mexico’s cost for building a wall.

      Sure folks will just climb over with ladders or under with tunnels, but won’t it be great to watch Trump standing tall and defiant and hearing him boast, “We built that big beautiful wall. And those Mexican rapists paid for it, just like I said they would. Just like I said.”

      As for sending our children off to be maimed and killed in any wars Trump starts, that will be an honor. Won’t it?

      • nomu1001 says:

        You have proven our theory about MAGA supporters.

      • nomu1001 says:

        Just fyi, it is a fact that most of the “illegal” aliens come via airlines and end up over staying their VISAs. Most are not coming to our country via our southern borders.

        Just about everyone agrees that those with serious criminal records should be deported, which is Obama’s position as well.

        • DannoBoy says:

          I agree completely, nomu. Many come by air.

          But Trump is right that regardless of where they come from or how they get here, illegal foreign workers should be arrested, detained, kicked out and immediately sent home.

          That being said, FLOTUS will unfortinately have to go back to Slovenia. She broke Federal immigration laws and is a criminal.

          You may know this already, but when Melania Trump arrived (by air) in our great country on a visitor visa in 1996, she worked illegally and was paid for at least 10 nude modeling jobs.

          Yes. Melania is a criminal, and Donald has been harboring her for years in his sanctuary tower.

          Finally we’re going to put a stop to Melania and other beautiful illegals flaunting their promiscuous disregard for our US Federal immigration laws. No mercy for gorgeous illegals.

          See:
          http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/11/04/melania-trump-undocumented-work/93321114/

        • DannoBoy says:

          If nomu, or anyone else, wants a glimpse at the kind of modeling done by this lusciously illegal immigrant, this classy criminal, this fabulous FLOTUS Melania Trump, check out these pics from one of her first illegal jobs:

          http://nypost.com/2016/08/01/melania-trumps-girl-on-girl-photos-from-racy-shoot-revealed/

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